Derthona vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
67%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
DER
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
VAR
7%
18%
76%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
DER
83%
13%
4%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
PRO
13%
23%
65%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARC
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |