Derthona vs Borgosesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
DER
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
VAR
7%
18%
76%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 0
ARC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
BOR
76%
16%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 2
PRO
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 3
BOR
59%
22%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |