Derthona vs Borgosesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
LIG
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 1
LAV
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
1 - 1
BOR
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
NOV
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
LIG
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOR
54%
24%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |