Derthona vs ASD Pro Settimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
74%
18%
7%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 3
DER
70%
19%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BEL
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
DER
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Pro Settimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SET
1 - 0
LAV
43%
27%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
SET
32%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 2
SET
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SET
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SET
2 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |