Derthona vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
DER
18%
21%
62%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
CHI
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 0
OLG
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASD
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 1
ASD
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |