Derthona vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.5%
76%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
DER
83%
13%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
PRO
13%
23%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
INV
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
VAR
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
86%
11%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |