Derthona vs Argentina SSD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 3
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
RAB
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
0 - 3
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
LAV
27%
27%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
BOR
22%
24%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina SSD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
LAV
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
ARG
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
CAR
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 3
ARG
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |