Derthona vs Acqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
DER
64%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 4
CHI
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 3
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
RAB
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 3
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
ACQ
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIN
3 - 2
ACQ
59%
20%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 1
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACQ
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |