Derthona vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 0
VAR
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 1
OLG
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 3
GOZ
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |