Derthona vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
17º
14º
57
6º
19º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 74 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 56 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
41 | 44 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 1
DER
64%
23%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DER
0 - 3
SES
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
GOZ
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FEZ
2 - 1
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
UNI
44%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
CCA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
PIN
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |