Derthona vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
17º
14º
57
6º
19º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 74 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 56 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
41 | 44 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 1
DER
64%
23%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DER
0 - 3
SES
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
GOZ
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FEZ
2 - 1
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
UNI
44%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
CCA
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
PIN
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |