Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
2º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BOH
0 - 1
DER
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
18%
26%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
UCD
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 2
DUN
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 1
BOH
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SLR
3 - 1
UCD
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |