Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
LIM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SHR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BRW
1 - 1
DER
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
ATH
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
UCD
0 - 4
CAO
16%
25%
59%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SLR
4 - 0
UCD
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SHR
3 - 0
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UCD
0 - 2
DUN
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
UCD
1 - 3
LIM
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |