Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
DER
7 - 1
MER
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 1
DER
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
STP
3 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
UCD
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
UCD
3 - 1
BRW
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
SLR
3 - 0
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
UCD
3 - 1
CAO
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |