Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 0
DER
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 0
CAO
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
BRW
0 - 4
DER
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 6
UCD
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
UCD
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
UCD
2 - 3
BRW
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SLR
2 - 1
UCD
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
UCD
1 - 0
CAO
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |