Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
DER
1 - 0
COB
58%
26%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
DER
3 - 0
FIN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
DER
0 - 0
GAL
59%
25%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
BOH
0 - 0
DER
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
UCD
0 - 1
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
STP
0 - 0
UCD
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
UCD
1 - 1
BOH
35%
29%
35%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
COB
0 - 0
UCD
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
UCD
2 - 0
STP
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |