Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BLU
2 - 12
DER
4%
9%
87%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 4
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAO
1 - 1
STP
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
IAF
0 - 5
STP
6%
12%
82%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
STP
3 - 0
BRW
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
STP
2 - 1
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |