Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SHR
1 - 3
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 3
DER
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
DER
4 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
CAO
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SLR
3 - 2
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 3
STP
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
STP
5 - 0
UCD
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |