Derry City vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
DER
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
SHE
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
BOH
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 1
SHE
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |