Derry City vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UCD
0 - 6
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
SLR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 0
SHR
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
SHE
1 - 3
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
SHE
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BRW
1 - 0
SHE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
UCD
1 - 1
SHE
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |