Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
4º
61
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DER
2 - 0
SHE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
DER
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 2
SHR
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SHR
4 - 0
SLR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
SHR
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 2
PAO
33%
24%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 1
GAL
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |