Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WEX
0 - 0
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
WEX
1 - 3
DER
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
GAL
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
SHR
0 - 1
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SHR
4 - 2
GAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
SHR
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CAO
3 - 0
SHR
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SHR
0 - 5
CAO
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 1
SHR
29%
27%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |