Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
SHE
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 0
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BOH
2 - 0
DER
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SLR
3 - 0
SHR
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SHR
3 - 0
BRW
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SHR
3 - 1
DRO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LIM
2 - 0
SHR
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SHR
2 - 0
DRO
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |