Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CAO
2 - 0
DER
40%
30%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
DRO
1 - 3
DER
36%
30%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DER
1 - 3
GAL
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SHR
1 - 0
BOH
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 2
SHR
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SHR
3 - 1
BRW
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SHR
1 - 2
SFI
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 2
SHR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |