Derry City vs Monaghan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
DER
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
SAL
76%
17%
6%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 2
DER
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
DER
3 - 1
WEX
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
DER
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
MON
4 - 0
MER
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAO
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 2
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |