Derry City vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
STP
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 4
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
DER
2 - 0
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
BRW
1 - 2
DER
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 4
DER
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 0
MER
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
LIM
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
WEX
3 - 5
MER
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
FIN
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
SHE
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |