Derry City vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
DER
5 - 2
BRW
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
DER
0 - 2
CAO
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
DER
2 - 0
STP
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
DER
1 - 1
SHR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
MAR
5 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
NKP
2 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 1
KOR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
FCK
1 - 1
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
MAR
3 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |