Derry City vs FCB Magpies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 0
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 1
DER
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
DRO
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
DER
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FCB Magpies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 0
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
MAG
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 1
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
LRI
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JOS
2 - 0
MAG
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |