Derry City vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 3
DER
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
BRW
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
SHR
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
DER
2 - 0
WAT
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
DER
0 - 0
LIM
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
LON
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
LON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LON
1 - 0
LIM
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
LON
0 - 3
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
FIN
2 - 0
LON
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |