Derry City vs Galway United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
42
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
34.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
DER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
WAT
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SHR
2 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SLR
0 - 0
DER
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
SHR
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
DRO
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
GAL
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
GAL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |