Derry City vs Galway United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
DER
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
56%
26%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
0 - 4
DER
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 1
SHR
34%
29%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BOH
5 - 0
GAL
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 1
LON
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 2
DRO
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
SLR
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |