Champions League 1/16
Global 8-6
Derry City vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1965 |
LYN
5 - 3
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
DER
0 - 2
STB
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
STB
3 - 0
DER
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
LYN
4 - 0
FRI
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1965 |
LYN
5 - 3
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1965 |
VIF
1 - 7
LYN
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1965 |
ODD
3 - 2
LYN
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1965 |
LYN
2 - 3
STE
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |