Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 4
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
LON
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
BOH
4 - 2
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
LIM
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BRW
1 - 0
DER
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
LON
75%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 0
DUN
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
BRW
0 - 1
DUN
15%
23%
63%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |