Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAO
2 - 0
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BOH
1 - 1
DER
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 0
SLR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
DUN
7 - 0
DRO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
LIM
1 - 2
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
BRW
0 - 3
DUN
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
DUN
4 - 0
CAO
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |