Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SLR
4 - 1
DER
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
UCD
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
DER
7 - 1
MER
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 1
DER
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
SHR
7 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOH
0 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SLR
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
UCD
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |