Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DER
1 - 3
GAL
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
DER
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
0 - 4
DER
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SHR
2 - 2
DUN
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BOH
4 - 2
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOH
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
BRW
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
3 - 4
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |