Derry City vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
4º
34
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
DER
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
DER
2 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 4
DER
20%
22%
59%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SLR
5 - 4
DER
16%
22%
61%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 2
DER
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
BRW
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 4
DRO
4%
12%
84%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
DRO
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SPS
2 - 1
DRO
5%
11%
85%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
DRO
3 - 1
BOH
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |