Derry City vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
STP
2 - 0
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SLR
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 2
DER
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
STP
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
DRO
1 - 1
LIM
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 0
DRO
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DRO
3 - 2
SLR
33%
28%
38%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
DRO
0 - 1
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRW
0 - 1
DRO
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |