Derry City vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
DER
7 - 0
UCD
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
SLR
3 - 0
DER
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 2
DER
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
MER
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
STP
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
DRO
0 - 1
BOH
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
UCD
2 - 1
DRO
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
STP
3 - 0
DRO
73%
18%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 3
UCD
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
DRO
1 - 2
DUN
27%
25%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |