Derry City vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BOH
4 - 2
DER
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
DER
4 - 2
COB
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
STP
2 - 1
DER
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
34%
31%
36%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
GAL
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
DRO
0 - 2
STP
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
BRW
4 - 3
DRO
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
DRO
1 - 2
FIN
66%
21%
12%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
CAO
0 - 0
DRO
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
DRO
1 - 2
BOH
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |