Derry City vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
BOH
2 - 3
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CLI
1 - 2
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
VAL
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FKT
0 - 1
CAR
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
RIG
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |