Derry City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 2
DRO
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
UCD
73%
19%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLR
1 - 1
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DER
3 - 3
SLR
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SHR
5 - 2
BRW
75%
18%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BRW
4 - 0
UCD
55%
22%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
SLR
3 - 0
BRW
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
BRW
0 - 3
STP
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 1
BRW
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |