Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
DER
0 - 3
DRO
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 0
BOH
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
0 - 0
BRW
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
BOH
2 - 1
DUN
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BOH
1 - 0
UCD
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
THO
5 - 1
BOH
35%
25%
39%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |