Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
BOH
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DER
4 - 0
GAL
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
SHR
1 - 0
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
DER
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
BOH
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 3
SLR
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
SLR
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 0
UCD
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SHR
1 - 1
BOH
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |