Champions League 1/16
Global 1-6
Derry City vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
CAR
4 - 0
DER
38%
24%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
DER
0 - 3
AND
30%
23%
47%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1965 |
AND
9 - 0
DER
80%
13%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
DER
5 - 1
LYN
38%
22%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
85%
10%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
39%
29%
32%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SLB
2 - 2
BOA
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |