Derry City vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
DER
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
DER
2 - 3
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
DER
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 1
CAO
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 2
ATH
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 1
WAT
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |