Derry City vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
4.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
DER
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
DER
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
BRW
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 1
CAO
10%
21%
69%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
MER
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 1
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 3
ATH
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 5
UCD
23%
28%
49%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |