Derince Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
YEN
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 0
DER
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
SEK
27%
27%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ANK
5 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
ORH
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sakaryaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SAK
0 - 0
ANK
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ORH
0 - 0
SAK
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAK
0 - 0
SUL
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
TEK
4 - 0
SAK
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAK
1 - 0
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |