Derince Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAZ
1 - 0
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
BOD
23%
27%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
DER
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
DUZ
18%
24%
59%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
KIR
4 - 2
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erbaaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ERB
0 - 3
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
HEA
2 - 1
ERB
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ERB
1 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
YOM
1 - 2
ERB
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
PAZ
1 - 2
ERB
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |