Derince Belediyespor vs Çatalca Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OYA
1 - 1
DER
58%
25%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DER
0 - 3
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
YOM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
HEA
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Çatalca Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HEA
4 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
TIR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ERB
0 - 0
CAT
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |