Derince Belediyespor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 0
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SEK
3 - 2
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
KAH
43%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
YEN
5 - 1
DER
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
PAY
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AYV
0 - 0
OFS
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
YOM
3 - 0
AYV
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
AYV
1 - 2
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 3
AYV
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
AYV
0 - 0
DEN
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |